China finance ministry echoes Xi’s call for bond trading at PBOC

Published Tue, Apr 23, 2024 · 11:52 AM

CHINA’S Ministry of Finance said it supports allowing the central bank to trade government bonds, reaffirming a sentence from President Xi Jinping that ignited market speculation about a change of monetary strategy.

The ministry called for the stepping up of coordination between fiscal and monetary policy, and “improving the mechanisms of base money injection and money supply adjustment”, in an article written by a study group and published by the People’s Daily on Tuesday (Apr 23). It was based on a recent book that compiled Xi’s statements about finance and economics.

In that text, Xi was quoted as saying that the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) should gradually increase the buying and selling of government bonds in its open-market operations – a comment that set off a flurry of investor interest.

Some analysts initially read it as signalling a policy of “quantitative easing” – the unconventional form of stimulus widely used by central banks in advanced economies over recent decades, but avoided by China.

Most experts disagreed, arguing instead that the idea was for the PBOC to have an additional tool to pump liquidity into markets and ensure interest rates are stable – in line with how major central banks such as the US Federal Reserve operate.

Currently, the PBOC relies on other ways of managing liquidity such as lending facilities that inject cash into commercial banks, and reserve requirements.

GET BT IN YOUR INBOX DAILY

Start and end each day with the latest news stories and analyses delivered straight to your inbox.

VIEW ALL

The ministry’s latest comments come amid heightened focus on China’s borrowing plans. Beijing said it would sell more central-government debt to finance economic programmes – a way of shifting the burden of stimulus away from financially strained local authorities.

It plans to offer one trillion yuan (S$192 billion) of special sovereign bonds this year, although the timetable is not clear. The issuance will be launched in “timely” manner, an official at the finance ministry said in a briefing on Monday, refraining from giving a specific date.

Bond sales have been slow to roll out, because authorities are still seeking suitable projects to spend funds they raised last year. The finance ministry’s comments suggest the government is in no hurry to provide more support for the economy, which could add to investor concerns that Beijing is underestimating the amount of stimulus it needs to provide, after first-quarter growth exceeded expectations.

China’s central bank has not made a significant bond purchase since 2007. In a monetary policy report published in November, the PBOC contrasted its preference not to buy government bonds with the approach of the Fed and the Bank of Japan.

China’s commercial banks hold some 64 per cent of sovereign bonds under funding support from the central bank, the report said – far higher than the share held by banks in the US and Japan, which is below 7 per cent. The PBOC said it would push for more companies and individual investors to buy the government debt, helping to diversify the portfolio of holders and ensure smooth issuance. BLOOMBERG

KEYWORDS IN THIS ARTICLE

READ MORE

BT is now on Telegram!

For daily updates on weekdays and specially selected content for the weekend. Subscribe to  t.me/BizTimes

International

SUPPORT SOUTH-EAST ASIA'S LEADING FINANCIAL DAILY

Get the latest coverage and full access to all BT premium content.

SUBSCRIBE NOW

Browse corporate subscription here