Dollar edges lower against basket of currencies, paring week's gains

Published Sun, Oct 18, 2020 · 09:50 PM

New York

THE dollar edged lower against a basket of currencies on Friday, paring some of the week's gains built on increased caution over a global surge in Covid-19 cases and fading prospects for a US stimulus package before the Nov 3 election.

The greenback pared some of the day's losses after strong US retail sales data helped assuage concerns about the health of the US consumer.

Fresh restrictions to combat Covid-19 have been introduced across Europe, and the US Midwest is battling spikes in new cases, threatening to derail the country's economic recovery from the Covid-19 shock.

US relief plans remain bogged down in a three-way negotiation between the White House, Senate Republicans and House Democrats.

The US budget deficit hit a record US$3.132 trillion during fiscal 2020, more than triple the 2019 shortfall, as a result of massive Covid-19 rescue spending, the US Treasury said on Friday.

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"Market optimism was punctured this week to the benefit of the greenback amid a quartet of concerns over the virus, stimulus, the US economy and the fast-approaching presidential election," said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst, at Western Union Business Solutions in Washington.

The safe-haven Japanese yen was headed for a weekly gain of 0.2 per cent against the greenback as investor appetite for safe haven assets remains strong.

US retail sales increased more than expected in September. "The unexpectedly strong 1.9 per cent rise in retail sales last month suggests the economy was carrying more momentum into the fourth quarter than anticipated, defying fears that the expiry of enhanced unemployment benefits in the summer would harm the economy," Michael Pearce, a senior US economist at Capital Economics, said in a note.

"But with new coronavirus infections on the rise, we are not rushing to revise up our forecast that GDP growth will slow to 4 per cent annualised in the fourth quarter," he said.

Sterling erased the bulk of its early gains to trade slightly higher on the day in a choppy session on Friday, after British Prime Minister Boris Johnson told businesses to get ready for a no-deal Brexit. REUTERS

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