The Business Times

Oil prices see slight rebound after big falls

Published Tue, Aug 6, 2019 · 09:50 PM

London

OIL prices rebounded slightly on Tuesday from big falls in recent sessions, but Brent crude remained near seven-month lows around US$60 a barrel due to escalating trade tensions between China and the United States.

Brent prices have lost more than 9 per cent in the past week, with US President Donald Trump vowing to impose new tariffs on Chinese imports and China making further moves against US agricultural cargoes.

International benchmark Brent futures were up 18 cents at US$59.99 a barrel by 1005 GMT, having dipped earlier in the session to their lowest since Jan 14 at US$59.07.

West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 25 cents to US$54.94 per barrel.

"This morning's slight price recovery is hardly worthy of mention. Concerns about demand and the escalating trade conflict are still keeping the oil market in a stranglehold," Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch said in a note.

"As far as the oil market is concerned, there are two key questions: 1) Why should China carry on buying US crude oil?; and 2) Why should China continue to adhere to the US sanctions when it comes to buying Iranian oil?"

Global equities hit a two-month low and Brent fell more than 3 per cent on Monday as traders worried the dispute between the world's two biggest oil buyers would dent demand, helping to prompt Tuesday's short-covering.

London's main stock market index dropped for a sixth straight session on Tuesday.

Oil prices could find some support later on Tuesday, with a Reuters poll showing US crude oil inventories were expected to have fallen for an eighth consecutive week.

The American Petroleum Institute is set to release its weekly inventory data at 4.30pm EDT (2030 GMT), with official government numbers to follow on Wednesday.

On the supply side, Iran has threatened to block all energy exports out of the Strait of Hormuz, through which a fifth of global oil traffic passes, if it is unable to sell oil as promised by a 2015 nuclear deal in exchange for curbing uranium enrichment.

Britain on Monday joined the United States in a maritime security mission in the Gulf to protect merchant vessels after Iran seized a British-flagged vessel.

"Though Middle East tensions and an extended drawdown in US inventories will grant support for oil prices, looming weakness in global fuel demand will impose headwinds and cap bullish gains for the near term," said Benjamin Lu, analyst at Singapore-based brokerage Phillip Futures. REUTERS

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