China shifts Belt and Road energy spending to renewables: study
AFTER 10 years of helping other countries develop massive amounts of power generation, China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is pivoting more towards renewable energy, according to a new study from Wood Mackenzie.
Renewables account for 57 per cent of overseas development projects that are currently planned or in construction, compared to 37 per cent of the capacity built over the last decade, the report said. The shift has come as the price of wind turbines and solar panels has fallen, and as governments amp up pressure to move away from polluting fossil fuels.
“China is changing its overall strategy, so we expect to see more focus on renewables, and more direct investment than the bilateral lending that was more common in the early years of the BRI,” said Alex Whitworth, the consultancy’s head of Asia-Pacific power and renewables research.
Beijing’s domestic ramp-up of clean energy continues apace, and installations of solar, wind, nuclear and hydro this year should generate enough electricity to power all of France, according to a report last week from the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air.
Wood Mackenzie identified 128 gigawatts of generating capacity, accounting for about US$200 billion of investment, that had been completed by 2023 through the BRI, which was announced by President Xi Jinping in 2013. A further 80 gigawatts of projects are currently planned or being built, according to the firm, mostly in Asia.
Another 54 gigawatts have been suspended or cancelled, either because of policy changes or commercial risks like cost inflation or over-optimistic financial assumptions. About 61 per cent of the cancelled projects involved coal, after Xi in 2021 announced a ban on new overseas projects using the fossil fuel.
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Still, Xi didn’t force companies or banks to cancel existing projects, and there are 21 coal and 12 natural gas developments in planning or construction phases, according to Wood Mackenzie.
On the wire
Iron ore resumed gains – after falling for the first time in eight sessions on Friday – on expectations for more Chinese stimulus and that previously announced measures will start filtering through.
China may be done with rate cuts for now as policymakers turn to other means to support the economy and stabilise credit growth headed into the new year.
China shipped less petrol and diesel overseas last month as export margins fell and refiners skimped on using up their quotas.
A Chinese firm has announced it will build a renewable energy project with more generating capacity than New Zealand in a vast inland desert province. BLOOMBERG
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