Travel earnings show consumers still splurge on foreign trips

Published Sun, Aug 6, 2023 · 10:00 AM

Earnings reports from the big three online travel companies showed that consumers are willing to swallow higher prices to get their international summer trip. 

Airbnb, Expedia Group, and Booking Holdings all reported second-quarter results on Thursday (Aug 3), presenting differing pictures of what has generally been billed as a sizzling summer of travel. The common trend among them, though, was higher prices – from flights to hotels and short-term rentals – and a preference for European or Asian vacations.

That benefited Booking, which makes almost 90 per cent of its revenue in Europe. The Norwalk, Connecticut-based company, which owns discount reservation site Priceline and flight aggregator Kayak, reported revenue that increased 27 per cent and total gross bookings up 15 per cent. Average daily rates for accommodations were up about nine percentage points from a year earlier, the company said, with rates higher in Asia and lower in the US. 

“In the long run, people are always going to want to travel,” chief executive Glenn Fogel said on Bloomberg TV on Friday morning. “And you can basically make an estimate that travel is going to increase faster than gross domestic product.” Fogel expects a “record travel season in the third quarter”.  

Though ticket prices remain high for international routes, travellers seem to still be willing to spend on the overseas experiences they missed out on during the height of the pandemic. For Americans, the strong dollar also makes that trip to Italy look even more appealing. Hot tourist cities are back on bucket lists too, after several summers of vacations spent in more rural, domestic settings. 

Global airlines like United Airlines and Delta Air Lines raised their annual profit forecasts on strength in international bookings and said they see strong demand continuing into the fall. Marriott International raised its profit estimates for the rest of 2023, with hotels in Asia and Europe driving revenue growth. At the same time, US domestic-focused carriers like JetBlue and Alaska Air are being forced to slash prices for trips within the US.

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Higher prices are also reflected in lodging prices at Airbnb, where average daily rates have jumped 42 per cent since 2019 to US$166 at the end of June. But it’s all about location: Average daily rates were down 1 per cent in North America in the second quarter from a year earlier, while in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, they were up 8 per cent. 

That didn’t seem to deter travellers, who booked 115.1 million nights and experiences on Airbnb in the second quarter, up 11 per cent from already elevated levels last year and Airbnb’s highest second-quarter ever. The high prices also drove Airbnb to its most profitable second quarter ever on a generally accepted accounting principals basis.  

“We actually saw acceleration in total growth on nights booked” from the first quarter to the second in North America, Airbnb chief financial officer Dave Stephenson said in an earnings call on Thursday. “So I think that was telling about just the strength and resiliency of the North American consumer, and we continue to see that strength leading into Q3, which is why we’re forecasting further acceleration of nights growth from Q2 into Q3.”

San Francisco-based Airbnb said people were travelling longer distances and that cross-border nights booked were up 16 per cent during the quarter. In particular, travel to Asia-Pacific grew more than 80 per cent and nights and experiences booked to North America by guests from abroad rose about 20 per cent from a year earlier. Overall consumer demand improved during the second quarter, with nights booked increasing 10 per cent from a year ago in April and 15 per cent year on year in June. Airbnb also said more travellers were coming back to cities, its traditional stronghold, with bookings for high-density urban listings up 13 per cent. 

For Expedia, whose platforms include flight reservations, hotel stays, car rentals, activities and vacation rentals, some of the recent travel trends weren’t as beneficial, and it reported revenue that missed analysts’ estimates.

The shift in consumer demand towards urban markets and shorter stays impacted Expedia’s Vrbo vacation-rental business, said CFO Julie Whalen on an earnings call on Thursday. The Seattle-based company makes most of its revenue domestically and doesn’t have the same international reach as Airbnb. “However, given the size and strong growth of our hotel business,” Whalen said, “we were pleased that we were able to deliver record lodging bookings in total.” BLOOMBERG

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